in the world. In fact, it grew at an astonishing 8.1% in the previous
quarter. There is little doubt that the Chinese market will continue
to grow impressively in the year ahead.
Now most economists and policy experts focus of
China’s relentless exports machine. However, few of them realise
that China also imported around $243.6 billion of goods from the
rest of the world in 2001. (Exports from China were $266.7 billion.)
Chinese imports are expected to further increase
when the world’s most populous country brings down its import
barriers after joining the World Trade Organisation (WTO). For
example, one US think-tank estimates that post-WTO membership, America’s
exports to China will climb from $19 billion in 1998 to $44 billion in
2009. And this effect will be multiplied in country after country.
This is the opportunity that, unfortunately, Indian
companies often fail to recognise. Focus on this one important
fact: China was among the fastest growing markets for Indian
exports during the 1990s, according to the research house Center For
Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE).
Starting from a low base of $48.7 million in
1991-92, exports to China have exploded to $925.7 million in
2001-02. The growth rate during the decade was a whopping 34.2% a
year.
There a few other countries that have increased
their purchases of Indian goods at more than 30% a year. These, says
CMIE, include Ethiopia, Vietnam and Myanmar. Nevertheless, their
economies are much too small to ensure that this growth is significant
for the Indian economy as a whole. China, on the other hand, is now
the twelfth largest destination for exports from the Indian shores.
Other than Singapore, it was our fastest-growing major export market
in the year 2001-02.
This implies that even as the rest of the world
economy continues to struggle, exports to China will gain greater
importance.
However, pharmaceutical exports, too, are growing
smartly. They now account for 9% of total exports to China. We have a
huge and vibrant economy next door, and it’s ready to open its
doors. Isn’t it time Indian industry realised this?